An update to yesterday’s blog post: Nate Silver of The New York Times now concurs with my prediction that Gingrich will win South Carolina. When writing my blog post yesterday, Silver had Gingrich and Romney tied with a 50% chance to win, but late last night, Silver updated his numbers to give Gingrich a 62% chance of victory, based on the most recent polling results. Let’s hope the voters of South Carolina prove both of us correct!