The South Carolina primaries are over and the victory – seemingly impossible only a week ago yet surprising no one tonight – went to Mr. Gingrich. But if Mr. Romney needs someone to commiserate with over a glass of beer, he has a most unlikely partner: Stephen Colbert. Colbert flirted with the idea of a …
Continue reading ‘Misery loves company: Colbert’s new drinking buddy’ »
An update to yesterday’s blog post: Nate Silver of The New York Times now concurs with my prediction that Gingrich will win South Carolina. When writing my blog post yesterday, Silver had Gingrich and Romney tied with a 50% chance to win, but late last night, Silver updated his numbers to give Gingrich a 62% chance of victory, based on the …
Continue reading ‘Nate Silver concurs: Gingrich now favored to win South Carolina’ »
I’m coming out and saying it: I think Newt Gingrich will win South Carolina this weekend. I’m shocked that I’m saying it, but the forces all seem to be coming together to create a perfect storm favoring Gingrich to surge past Romney. Specifically: 1) A good debate performance on Monday night – one that Gingrich …
Continue reading ‘The perfect storm: Why Newt will win South Carolina’ »
Everyone remembers the 2008 election. But although the election of President Barack Obama was undoubtedly a historic moment in U.S. history, the primary campaign may be just as memorable. For the first time in recent memory, the primary campaign, at least for the Democratic nomination, lasted nearly to the conventions. While I found the contest …
Continue reading ‘Reshaping 2012: Will the election really be different?’ »